{"id":3614,"date":"2024-06-13T23:16:04","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T03:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/?p=3614"},"modified":"2024-06-13T23:18:13","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T03:18:13","slug":"bolstering-economic-growth-with-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/13\/bolstering-economic-growth-with-ai\/","title":{"rendered":"Bolstering Economic Growth with AI"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"3614\" class=\"elementor elementor-3614\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-02a562b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"02a562b\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-49fb8f1\" data-id=\"49fb8f1\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4b35de9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4b35de9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>If you haven&#8217;t already, please check out <a href=\"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/13\/an-ai-revolution-in-the-workforce\/\"><u>part 1<\/u><\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/13\/income-inequality-in-the-new-age-of-ai\/?_thumbnail_id=3610\"><u>part 2<\/u><\/a> of this series before reading this article.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-ea23951 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"ea23951\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-e076729\" data-id=\"e076729\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-af87940 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"af87940\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Why AI Will Increase GDP<\/h5>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-288ce59 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"288ce59\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If AI can improve productivity and reduce factor prices, production will increase, decreasing prices and increasing aggregate demand (Acemoglu &amp; Restrepo, 2018; Capital Economics). This potential to increase economic output is reaffirmed by Damioli, Roy, and Vertesy (2021) who found that AI patent applications have significant positive effects on labor productivity in the service industry, particularly among SMEs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-fc031e7 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"fc031e7\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-65c5004\" data-id=\"65c5004\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f54103 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6f54103\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Prerequisite Conditions<\/h5>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5cb6164 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5cb6164\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, as an economy, labor productivity growth has been slow since the 1970s even among industries that have invested heavily into digital technologies (Brynjolfsson 1993). Brynjolfsson, Mitchell, and Rock (2018) offer a potential explanation for this in the age of AI, being that complementary technologies and labor skills must catch up to AI developments for productivity gains to be realized. This is supported by the finding that AI-adopting firms, which are more likely to possess such complementary skills and technologies, do have higher labor productivity than similar establishments that have not adopted AI (Acemoglue et al., 2022).<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-012092f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"012092f\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-472b1df\" data-id=\"472b1df\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5bda04a elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"5bda04a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"441\" height=\"537\" src=\"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-13-at-10.59.38\u202fPM.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-3616\" alt=\"Two line graphs showing (1) GDP growth rate over time and (2) automation and capital share in the economy.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-13-at-10.59.38\u202fPM.png 441w, https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-13-at-10.59.38\u202fPM-246x300.png 246w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 441px) 100vw, 441px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40248e7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"40248e7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AI can certainly promote economic growth, depending on the nature of automation and its implementation (Aghion et al., 2017). Aghion, Jones, and Jones found several conditions under which balanced growth is possible with capital shares under 100%, (see Figure 2). Still, they do note that slow productivity growth in essential service industries may restrict the extent of such growth due to Baumol\u2019s \u201ccost disease.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-561d9f7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"561d9f7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">References<\/h5>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9899217 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9899217\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3fa1fba\" data-id=\"3fa1fba\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0929528 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0929528\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/document\/d\/1QP0pMYtFiD3y-v3wYgEMKV2Ya1UpOlOFAfI9tDoKGlg\/edit?usp=sharing\"><u>Google Document with all references<\/u><\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Part 3 of an analysis of the macroeconomic effects of AI.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3624,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,15],"tags":[36,38,45,46,47],"class_list":["post-3614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-world","category-trends","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-economy","tag-gdp","tag-growth"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3614"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3626,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614\/revisions\/3626"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ishaanagarwal.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}